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The Blackjack Switch tables are based on “expectation values” for the set of two cards dealt to your hand and the dealer’s face up card. The values range from +1 to -1. An expectation value close to +1 indicates a high probability of winning from that that combination. An expectation value close to -1 indicates a high probability of losing. You add the expectation values of both hands as dealt. Then you assume that the switch is made and add the expectation of the potentially changed hands. If the total of expectations after the proposed switch is greater than the total before the switch only then must you switch the cards. The facility to switch the cards gives players an advantage. This has to be balanced otherwise the average return will exceed 100%. Therefore, blackjack pays even money instead of 3 to 2 and the dealer pushes on 22 whereas the player busts on 22.
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